Sunday, November 8, 2009

NFL Week 9: Putting it on the line

Last week went extremely bad ... should have gone with my gut on two of the games (Ravens, Titans) instead of going safe. I originally had the Vikings, but flipped to the Packers at home. Not sure what happen to the Cardinals against the Panthers...the defense really stepped up. The Rams had to beat someone this year, so why not the Lions! Let's see if we can make up on some wins this week.

Washington Redskins at Atlanta Falcons
Pick - Falcons: The Redskins have won six of the last eight meetings. Falcons QB Matt Ryan is 10-1 in his career at home. ... Atlanta's Tony Gonzalez has scored in all three of his home games this season. The Redskins' have the second-ranked pass defense.

Arizona Cardinals at Chicago Bears
Pick - Cardinals (coin toss): The Bears have won five of the past six meetings. The Cardinals are 3-0 on the road for the first time since 1982. Arizona's Tim Hightower leads all NFL running backs with 39 catches. When Jay Cutler has at least a 100 passer rating, his team is 13-0. Johnny Knox is second among rookies with four touchdown catches.

Baltimore Ravens at Cincinnati Bengals
Pick - Bengals: The Bengals have won seven of the past 10 meetings. Ravens QB Joe Flacco has at least one touchdown pass in seven consecutive games. Carson Palmer is 7-3 in his career against the Ravens.

Houston Texans at Indianapolis Colts
Pick - Colts (coin toss): Indianapolis has owned this series, having won 13 of the 14 all-time matchups. Texans QB Matt Schaub has already thrown for a career-high 16 touchdowns. Peyton Manning is 7-0 at home against the Texans and has 20 touchdown passes and only two interceptions in those games. Schaub will be missing Owen Daniels. The Colts secondary is depleted after three player injuries this week. Houston actually has a chance to beat the Colts this week.

Kansas City Chiefs at Jacksonville Jaguars
Pick - Jaguars (coin toss): Jacksonville has a 5-2 overall series advantage. Chiefs QB Matt Cassel has a 7-3 career record on the road as a starter. Jones-Drew has 50 touchdowns in 53 career games. With Larry Johnson suspended for this game, Charles has his chance to show he can be the team's No. 1 running back.

Miami Dolphins at New England Patriots
Pick - Patriots: New England has won four of the past six meetings, but still trails the overall series, 49-38, including the playoffs. Dolphins coach Tony Sparano is 7-2 against the AFC East. New England has won 24 consecutive regular season games with Junior Seau on the roster.

Green Bay Packers at Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Pick - Packers: Six of the last nine games have gone Tampa Bay's way. Josh Freeman debuts as the starting QB for Tampa Bay. Packers QB Aaron Rodgers has posted a 100-plus passer rating in five consecutive games.

Carolina Panthers at New Orleans Saints
Pick - Saints: Carolina has won six of the past seven meetings and has a 16-12 overall series edge. Panthers QB Jake Delhomme, who started his career in New Orleans, is 8-2 against the Saints. When DeAngelo Williams rushes for 110 yards or more, the Panthers are 10-0. New Orleans is averaging a league-best 39 points per game.

Detroit Lions at Seattle Seahawks
Pick - Seahawks: The Lions have won three of the past five, but trail the overall series, 6-4. Former Seahawks Maurice Morris and Julian Peterson, now with the Lions, face their former team for the first time. Seattle's John Carlson has five touchdowns in his past seven home games.

San Diego Chargers at New York Giants
Pick - Chargers (coin toss): San Diego has won two of three, but New York has the overall series edge, 5-4. New York's secondary has failed to defend the long pass over the past three weeks and that flaw could prove to be fatal against the Chargers. Rivers has 11 touchdowns in his past five outings against the NFC. Though the Giants are enduring a three-game losing skid, Brandon Jacobs has actually played his best over the past three weeks. He is averaging 4.9 yards per carry over that span and has added five catches for 34 yards. When Justin Tuck records a sack, the Giants are 15-3.

Tennessee Titans at San Francisco 49ers
Pick - 49ers: The Niners have won two of the past three meetings and have a 7-4 overall series edge. The Titans have won five straight against the NFC. Niners RB Frank Gore has three 60-plus yard TD runs this year. Chris JOhnson has become the king of long touchdown scampers with four rushing scores of at least 50 yards already this season.

Dallas Cowboys at Philadelphia Eagles
Pick - Eagles: The Eagles have won four of the past six meetings. Romo has won 12 consecutive Nov. starts. Eagles QB Donovan McNabb has won 11 of his past 16 starts against Dallas.

Pittsburgh Steelers at Denver Broncos
Pick - Steelers (coin toss): The Broncos have won four of the past five and have a commanding 16-9-1 overall series edge, including the playoffs. Steelers coach Mike Tomlin is 4-0 on Monday Night Football. Roethlisberger has a touchdown in seven consecutive games. Orton has lost just two home games in his career. Denver's Elvis Dumervil leads the AFC with 10 sacks.

Please note, nerangers picks are done for fun only!
Stat info from NFL.COM

wk1: 13-3, wk2: 8-8, wk3: 14-2, wk4: 14-0 wk5: 9-5 wk6: 9-5 wk7: 10-3 wk8: 8-5

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